FIFA World Cup 2026 小组 I Predictions & AnalysisOddsFlow AI predictions for 小组 I: 法国, 塞内加尔, 伊拉克, 挪威. Qualification probabilities, head-to-head match analysis, and team ratings powered by Dixon-Coles model with 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
小组 I Teams🇫🇷 法国🇸🇳 塞内加尔🇮🇶 伊拉克🇳🇴 挪威Head-to-Head Match PredictionsFrance vs Iraq — AI PredictionWin: 50.5% | Draw: 24.8% | Win: 24.7% | Expected Goals: 1.6-1.0 | Most Likely Score: 1-0 | Over 2.5: 47.2% | BTTS: 50.4%
Score Distribution: 1-0 (12.4%), 1-1 (12.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (9.2%), 0-1 (7.5%)
Over/Under Lines: O1.5 73% / U1.5 27% | O2.5 47% / U2.5 53% | O3.5 26% / U3.5 74%
Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 38% / Away 62% | AH -0.5: Home 50% / Away 50% | AH +0: Home 63% / Away 37% | AH +0.5: Home 75% / Away 25% | AH +1: Home 83% / Away 17%
France vs Norway — AI PredictionWin: 49.2% | Draw: 24.2% | Win: 26.7% | Expected Goals: 1.7-1.1 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 53.4% | BTTS: 56.0%
Score Distribution: 1-1 (12.0%), 2-1 (9.8%), 1-0 (9.5%), 2-0 (8.2%), 0-1 (7.4%)
Over/Under Lines: O1.5 77% / U1.5 23% | O2.5 53% / U2.5 47% | O3.5 31% / U3.5 69%
Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 38% / Away 62% | AH -0.5: Home 49% / Away 51% | AH +0: Home 61% / Away 39% | AH +0.5: Home 73% / Away 27% | AH +1: Home 82% / Away 18%
France vs Senegal — AI PredictionWin: 43.5% | Draw: 25.7% | Win: 30.8% | Expected Goals: 1.5-1.2 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 50.3% | BTTS: 54.1%
Score Distribution: 1-1 (12.3%), 1-0 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.3%), 0-1 (8.6%), 1-2 (7.3%)
Over/Under Lines: O1.5 75% / U1.5 25% | O2.5 50% / U2.5 50% | O3.5 28% / U3.5 72%
Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 32% / Away 68% | AH -0.5: Home 44% / Away 56% | AH +0: Home 56% / Away 44% | AH +0.5: Home 69% / Away 31% | AH +1: Home 78% / Away 22%
Iraq vs France — AI PredictionWin: 24.2% | Draw: 25.2% | Win: 50.6% | Expected Goals: 1.0-1.6 | Most Likely Score: 0-1 | Over 2.5: 47.7% | BTTS: 50.2%
Score Distribution: 0-1 (12.5%), 1-1 (11.8%), 1-2 (9.6%), 0-2 (9.2%), 1-0 (7.6%)
Over/Under Lines: O1.5 72% / U1.5 28% | O2.5 48% / U2.5 52% | O3.5 26% / U3.5 74%
Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 17% / Away 83% | AH -0.5: Home 24% / Away 76% | AH +0: Home 37% / Away 63% | AH +0.5: Home 49% / Away 51% | AH +1: Home 62% / Away 38%
Iraq vs Norway — AI PredictionWin: 34.1% | Draw: 26.5% | Win: 39.4% | Expected Goals: 1.2-1.3 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 46.1% | BTTS: 51.6%
Score Distribution: 1-1 (13.0%), 0-1 (10.5%), 1-0 (9.6%), 1-2 (8.6%), 0-0 (7.9%)
Over/Under Lines: O1.5 72% / U1.5 28% | O2.5 46% / U2.5 54% | O3.5 25% / U3.5 75%
Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 24% / Away 76% | AH -0.5: Home 34% / Away 66% | AH +0: Home 47% / Away 53% | AH +0.5: Home 61% / Away 39% | AH +1: Home 71% / Away 29%
Iraq vs Senegal — AI PredictionWin: 30.3% | Draw: 27.3% | Win: 42.4% | Expected Goals: 1.1-1.3 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 43.0% | BTTS: 47.9%
Score Distribution: 1-1 (12.3%), 0-1 (12.0%), 1-0 (10.1%), 0-0 (9.4%), 0-2 (8.2%)
Over/Under Lines: O1.5 68% / U1.5 32% | O2.5 43% / U2.5 57% | O3.5 23% / U3.5 77%
Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 21% / Away 79% | AH -0.5: Home 30% / Away 70% | AH +0: Home 44% / Away 56% | AH +0.5: Home 58% / Away 42% | AH +1: Home 69% / Away 31%
Norway vs France — AI PredictionWin: 26.3% | Draw: 24.7% | Win: 49.0% | Expected Goals: 1.2-1.7 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 53.7% | BTTS: 55.9%
Score Distribution: 1-1 (11.9%), 1-2 (9.8%), 0-1 (9.2%), 0-2 (8.4%), 1-0 (7.2%)
Over/Under Lines: O1.5 78% / U1.5 22% | O2.5 54% / U2.5 46% | O3.5 31% / U3.5 69%
Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 18% / Away 82% | AH -0.5: Home 26% / Away 74% | AH +0: Home 39% / Away 61% | AH +0.5: Home 51% / Away 49% | AH +1: Home 62% / Away 38%
Norway vs Iraq — AI PredictionWin: 39.4% | Draw: 26.9% | Win: 33.8% | Expected Goals: 1.3-1.2 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 46.5% | BTTS: 51.1%
Score Distribution: 1-1 (12.4%), 1-0 (11.1%), 0-1 (9.2%), 0-0 (8.1%), 2-1 (8.0%)
Over/Under Lines: O1.5 72% / U1.5 28% | O2.5 46% / U2.5 54% | O3.5 26% / U3.5 74%
Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 28% / Away 72% | AH -0.5: Home 39% / Away 61% | AH +0: Home 53% / Away 47% | AH +0.5: Home 66% / Away 34% | AH +1: Home 76% / Away 24%
Norway vs Senegal — AI PredictionWin: 31.4% | Draw: 26.6% | Win: 42.0% | Expected Goals: 1.2-1.4 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 50.3% | BTTS: 54.6%
Score Distribution: 1-1 (12.5%), 0-1 (9.4%), 1-2 (9.3%), 1-0 (8.2%), 0-0 (7.3%)
Over/Under Lines: O1.5 75% / U1.5 25% | O2.5 50% / U2.5 50% | O3.5 28% / U3.5 72%
Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 22% / Away 78% | AH -0.5: Home 31% / Away 69% | AH +0: Home 45% / Away 55% | AH +0.5: Home 58% / Away 42% | AH +1: Home 69% / Away 31%
Senegal vs France — AI PredictionWin: 31.6% | Draw: 25.9% | Win: 42.4% | Expected Goals: 1.2-1.5 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 49.9% | BTTS: 53.8%
Score Distribution: 1-1 (12.4%), 0-1 (9.7%), 1-2 (8.9%), 1-0 (8.5%), 2-1 (7.7%)
Over/Under Lines: O1.5 75% / U1.5 25% | O2.5 50% / U2.5 50% | O3.5 28% / U3.5 72%
Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 22% / Away 78% | AH -0.5: Home 32% / Away 68% | AH +0: Home 45% / Away 55% | AH +0.5: Home 58% / Away 42% | AH +1: Home 68% / Away 32%
Senegal vs Iraq — AI PredictionWin: 43.4% | Draw: 26.8% | Win: 29.9% | Expected Goals: 1.4-1.1 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 44.0% | BTTS: 49.2%
Score Distribution: 1-1 (13.2%), 1-0 (11.7%), 0-1 (9.7%), 2-0 (8.3%), 0-0 (8.1%)
Over/Under Lines: O1.5 71% / U1.5 29% | O2.5 44% / U2.5 56% | O3.5 24% / U3.5 76%
Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 32% / Away 68% | AH -0.5: Home 43% / Away 57% | AH +0: Home 57% / Away 43% | AH +0.5: Home 70% / Away 30% | AH +1: Home 79% / Away 21%
Senegal vs Norway — AI PredictionWin: 42.6% | Draw: 26.1% | Win: 31.3% | Expected Goals: 1.5-1.2 | Most Likely Score: 1-1 | Over 2.5: 50.8% | BTTS: 54.9%
Score Distribution: 1-1 (12.2%), 1-0 (9.7%), 2-1 (8.9%), 0-1 (7.9%), 2-0 (7.5%)
Over/Under Lines: O1.5 76% / U1.5 24% | O2.5 51% / U2.5 49% | O3.5 29% / U3.5 71%
Asian Handicap: AH -1: Home 32% / Away 68% | AH -0.5: Home 43% / Away 57% | AH +0: Home 56% / Away 44% | AH +0.5: Home 69% / Away 31% | AH +1: Home 78% / Away 22%
Other GroupsGroup A: Mexico, South Africa, Korea Republic, CzechiaGroup B: Canada, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Qatar, SwitzerlandGroup C: Brazil, Morocco, Haiti, ScotlandGroup D: USA, Paraguay, Australia, TürkiyeGroup E: Germany, Curaçao, Côte d'Ivoire, EcuadorGroup F: Netherlands, Japan, Sweden, TunisiaGroup G: Belgium, Egypt, Iran, New ZealandGroup H: Spain, Cabo Verde, Saudi Arabia, UruguayGroup J: Argentina, Algeria, Austria, JordanGroup K: Portugal, Congo DR, Uzbekistan, ColombiaGroup L: England, Croatia, Ghana, PanamaWorld Cup 2026 HubAll Match Predictions48 Participating NationsGroup StandingsAI PerformanceAI Methodology — How We Predict